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What a second wave could mean for the hardest-hit business sectors


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What a second wave could mean for the hardest-hit business sectors

Many have not yet recovered, and many will not. A further blow could be ‘pretty disastrous’Author of the article:Financial Post StaffPublishing date:Sep 28, 2020  •   •  2 minute read”A lot (of restaurants) are just hanging by their fingertips,” said Restaurants Canada. “We still think about 50 per cent of independents will close if things don’t…

Many have not yet recovered, and many will not. A further blow could be ‘pretty disastrous’

Author of the article:

Financial Post Staff

Publishing date:

Sep 28, 2020  •   •  2 minute read

“A lot (of restaurants) are just hanging by their fingertips,” said Restaurants Canada. “We still think about 50 per cent of independents will close if things don’t change soon.” Photo by Getty Images/iStockphoto

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Business groups on Monday warned that a return to economic shutdowns could be disastrous for the country’s most vulnerable sectors as pressure mounts on governments to implement more restrictions to tamp down a second wave of COVID-19 infections in some parts of Canada.

Ontario hit a record-high 700 cases on Monday, prompting the Ontario Hospital Association to call on the province to return to Phase Two of its reopening plan in hard-hit areas, which would mean closing indoor dining rooms, gyms and theatres.

That kind of shutdown, just as patio season winds down, would likely bring about mass closures in the restaurant industry, which as of mid-August had already lost 10 per cent of the 98,000 restaurants, caterers and bars that were operating before the pandemic, according to Restaurants Canada.

“A lot are just hanging by their fingertips,” said the group’s spokesman, James Rilett. “We still think about 50 per cent of independents will close if things don’t change soon.”

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A group of municipal leaders in the Toronto area — where the bulk of Monday’s new cases were recorded — are apparently considering the idea of adding more rules for restaurants to follow, on top of the earlier last-call hours imposed by the provincial government last week.

Toronto Mayor John Tory said he met on Monday with leaders from the 11 largest municipalities in the Greater Toronto and Hamilton Area, some of whom were “seriously considering further restrictions on restaurant capacity.”

Restaurateurs were already worried about their prospects of surviving through the winter, as cooler weather starts to whittle away at patio traffic.

“Now we have to grapple with the possibility of life without dining rooms either,” Rilett said.

The Canadian Chamber of Commerce on Monday said governments need to present a cohesive strategy for the coming months so that both businesses and consumers know what to expect during a second wave and any ensuing recovery.

We need a plan to be able to live with the virus in our midst while still being able to engage in our economic activities

Canadian Chamber of Commerce

“We need a plan to be able to live with the virus in our midst while still being able to engage in our economic activities,” said Trevin Stratton, the chamber’s chief economist and vice-president of policy. “If we’re just reacting to numbers as they change by the day, then, obviously, there isn’t a lot of certainty there.”

Consumer confidence is a major factor in economic stability, particularly for retailers, said Karl Littler, senior vice-president of public affairs at the Retail Council of Canada.

The council expects brick-and-mortar retailers to be “less in the crosshairs” of economic shutdowns than they were in the spring, but another blow to the public confidence, and household budgets, could be “pretty disastrous,” he said.

“There are substantial chunks of the retail world that would be extremely stressed by a repeat of what we saw before,” Littler said. “There are a lot of entities that are not in any way recovered. Even some of those that are now back to roughly comparable year-over-year sales still have a big hole from earlier in the year.”

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